Xavier Becerra
77.5%-77.7%
77.6%
+0.7%
Market Aggregates
California Governor 2026: Top-Two Primary Advancement
Probabilities of advancing from CA's top-two gubernatorial primary to the general election. Each venue's bid/ask midprices are normalized to a sum of ~200%, then weighted according to platform liquidity and subjective quality factors.
Polls close
Jun 2, 2026, 11:00 PM EDT
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Supercycle Odds
Steve Hilton
75.5%-78.2%
77.1%
+0.1%
Tom Steyer
34.5%-34.7%
34.6%
-1.0%
Chad Bianco
2.00%-3.48%
2.89%
+0.1%
Matt Mahan
0.45%-2.00%
1.07%
+0.2%
Katie Porter
0.86%-1.09%
0.99%
-0.0%
Kyle Langford
0.86%
0.86%
-0.1%
Kamala Harris
0.57%
0.57%
+0.0%