Western North Carolina mountains at dusk with subtle market chart lines
Market Aggregates

NC-11 House 2026: General Election

Probabilities of winning North Carolina's 11th Congressional District in the 2026 general election. Each venue's bid/ask midprices are normalized to a sum of ~100%, then weighted according to platform liquidity and subjective quality factors.

Polls close
Nov 3, 2026, 7:30 PM EST
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Supercycle Odds

Democratic
50.0%-61.5%
3 sources
59.4%
-0.3%
Republican
36.5%-50.5%
3 sources
39.7%
+0.7%
8.32%27.3%46.2%65.1%84.1%Aug 17Aug 19Aug 20Aug 22Aug 24

Normalized Platform Odds

Kalshi
Democratic
60.0%
+0.0%
Polymarket
Democratic
61.5%
-0.5%
PredictIt
Democratic
50.0%
0.0%
Kalshi
Republican
40.5%
+0.5%
Polymarket
Republican
36.5%
+1.0%
PredictIt
Republican
50.5%
0.0%