Democratic
58.8%-64.0%
62.7%
-1.1%
Market Aggregates
Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Texas?
Probabilities of winning Texas's 2026 U.S. Senate general election. Each venue's bid/ask midprices are normalized to a sum of ~100%, then weighted according to platform liquidity and subjective quality factors.
Final statewide polls close
Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM EST
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Supercycle Odds
Republican
36.0%-41.2%
37.3%
+1.0%