Republican
57.0%-61.3%
59.9%
-1.2%
Market Aggregates
Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Texas?
Probabilities of winning Texas's 2026 U.S. Senate general election. Each venue's bid/ask midprices are normalized to a sum of ~100%, then weighted according to platform liquidity and subjective quality factors.
Final statewide polls close
Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM EST
--
Supercycle Odds
Democratic
38.5%-43.0%
39.8%
+0.9%